Journal de socialomique

Abstrait

Aggressive Human Behaviour Jerk from Geophysical and Solar Variables

David AE Vares, and Michael A Persinger

Modern neuroscience suggests that all human experiences and behaviours are produced by brain function and this mass of cells is subject to the same physical and chemical phenomena as other systems. Intergroup conflicts involving death, manifested as group homicides or suicides, are frequent phenomena that are usually explained by social political variables. We explored the feasibility of employing the modern data bases containing precise daily geophysical variables to predict numbers of daily conflicts as inferred by the Integrated Conflict Early Warning System of the Global Database of Events, Language and Tone Project. Over an approximately 1.5 year interval when all values were present, multiple regression lag/lead analyses demonstrated a correlation of +0.38 between numbers of daily “fight” behaviour and the third derivative (“jerks”) of the earth’s rotation, global numbers of earthquakes between magnitude 3 and 4, and ground-based background photon emissions. These analyses demonstrate the concept in principle that easily accessible environmental data could be ancillary tools to anticipate “unexpected” behavior’s defined as terrorism. Thorough analyses from this perspective may reveal hidden variables within these data bases with even greater potential to predict.